Chances of Tropical Development Increasing in the Caribbean

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The National Hurricane Center said the disturbance was in the western Caribbean Sea moving north-northwest at 6 miles per hour.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence. Forecasters gave the system a 60 percent chance of forming, then backed off the odds when it looked like high winds associated with a cold front crossing South Florida would hinder intensification. Regardless if the system develops, there will be heavy rain and breezy winds on Saturday that quickly spread up into east-central Florida by Saturday night.

Land interaction and increasing wind shear, however, should hinder any quick intensification.

Although it is too early to see if the storm will threaten South Florida, it is one to watch, as it approaches the Caribbean. It's questionable how far north the heavier rain from Invest 93 will move before the front pushes all the tropical moisture out into the Atlantic.

Bahamas: 4 to 8 inches with maximum totals of 10 inches. The heavy rain may cause some flooding problems in the Northeast region.

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Florida will experience summer and fall this weekend, as a tropical disturbance and a cold front is set to affect the Sunshine state.

October and November storms are not unheard of.

Hurricane season officially ends on November 30. That was enough for the National Hurricane Center to begin issuing advisories for the system, which would be named Philippe if and when tighter circulation forms.

The motion is toward Cuba and Bahamas.

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