Merkel: Germany standing by Iran nuclear treaty for now

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By law, Trump must decide by May 12 whether the USA should remain part of the current Iran deal. For instance, in its 2015 Final Assessment on Past and Present Outstanding Issues regarding Iran's Nuclear Programme, the IAEA specifically mentions Project Amad and Iran's attempts between 2002-2003 to "integrate a new spherical payload into the existing payload chamber of the re-entry vehicle for the Shahab 3 missile".

He argued that the United Nations' nuclear watchdog has independently confirmed on 11 occasions that Iran is in compliance with the terms of the agreement. And while global organizations such as the worldwide Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) certainly need time to study the files that Netanyahu is referring to, he hasn't actually done much to undermine the deal's credibility. Trump might not withdraw completely from the Iran nuclear deal.

It is far from certain that European countries that have enjoyed profitable trade with Iran since 2015 will shut the cash spigot just because Trump is unhappy and made a campaign promise to tear up the nuclear deal.

Trump seemed unmoved, but on Monday it was barely noticed that after lambasting the accord, he added, "That doesn't mean we won't negotiate a real agreement".

Trump might refuse to resume the waivers however give new US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo time to barter extra with the Europeans, exploiting the deal's dispute decision mechanism or the time earlier than probably the most draconian sanctions take impact.

May warned over customs partnership ahead of Brexit 'war cabinet' meeting
British parliamentarians addressed an "ultimatum" to the Prime Minister of Britain Theresa may under the terms Brexit. The two proposals are meant as alternatives to that. "The reality is pretty stark - David Davis is clueless".

Meanwhile, European allies France, the United Kingdom and Germany have agreed that pursuing the current nuclear deal with Iran is the best way to stop it developing nuclear weapons. "Therefore, it is now clearer than ever that negotiations on missiles will only alter the regional balance to Iran's disadvantage and in Israel's favor". Yet just as the agreement is beginning to deliver, and with Iran fully complying, a new U.S. administration seems set on scuppering it. Iran's belligerence in the region - its meddling overseas, in particular in Syria, Iraq and Yemen, was not addressed. Relations could easily sink to the 2003 level, when the United States' bullheaded invasion of Iraq split the alliance. They would cut their ties with Iran.

Meanwhile, the impact of renewed sanctions may be quite limited strategically.

Iran publicly says it will not agree to negotiate any limits on its behavior, but pressure could come in the form of new European and USA sanctions. And even if some signatories agree to re-impose sanctions, there is little to suggest Iran's ambitions have been severely thwarted by decades of sanctions anyway.

Beyond generally weakening Iran's military capabilities, hard-liners in particular are concerned that negotiating over the country's missile program will allow for a gradual spillover of Israel's sporadic attacks on Syria, which generally avoid worldwide condemnation. The facility, which is located underground, was built for uranium enrichment. Above all, they shatter Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's claim that Iran has never pursued nuclear weapons.

And that's all before the Russians weigh in. We call it the JCPOA for Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.